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Text Chapter 182: Remind the Old Man (Part 2)

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    Update time: 2012-12-09

    The national conditions of each country determine the political philosophy of each country, which is very different.  Just like the Bolsheviks in the Soviet Union, it was impossible to completely control them on Chinese soil.  It is for this reason that the old man said that it is not surprising that such things happen. Reform will always cause all kinds of troubles.

    Even China now has a lot of troubles.  Not to mention the Soviet Union, which was more powerful than China.  As the saying goes, pulling a hair affects the whole body, and reform is not just as simple as pulling a hair.  If there really is no problem, that is the biggest problem.

    Only by solving these problems can the reform be successful.  This is the old man's philosophy. Temporary difficulties are not difficulties at all. As long as they are solved, the future will be bright.

    But Liu Dongke would not be as optimistic as the old man. No matter from the data of later generations or the current reality, the Soviet reform is far from being as optimistic as imagined. Whether it is the expert issues in the Soviet reform,  Is it still a problem that was too intense in the Soviet reform, or is it a problem of the world pattern faced by the Soviet Union.

    The difficulties they face are not as simple as those of China.  The first one is the population issue. Regardless of the vast territory of the Soviet Union, spanning the Eurasian continent, if the Slavs had not been short-sighted and sold Alaska, they could be proud to say that not only did they span the Eurasian continent, but North America also had its own  territory.

    But with such a vast territory, the Soviet Union counted the entire population. When the census was conducted in 1982, it was only 268.8 million.  Although overall speaking at that time, the population of the Soviet Union was second only to China and Asan, ranking third in the world.

    "However, think about that vast land, but there are only more than 200 million and less than 300 million people. This population density is really too small.  There is a saying in later generations of China that goes well: if a big event is spread among a population of 1.2 billion, no matter how big it is, it will become a trivial matter.  But if a small thing occurs and all 1.2 billion people appear, it will become a huge event.

    With less than 300 million people in the Soviet Union, the resistance to reform will naturally be much easier than in China with a population of one billion. This is an advantage.  However, reform is a matter of difficulty first and then simplicity.  As long as a general trend is formed, the more people there are, the more successful it will be.  As for the 300 million people in the Soviet Union who want to reform, the overall difficulty will not be much easier than that of China in the end, and such reform will be quite difficult from beginning to end.

    Agriculture in the Soviet Union is not developed. In areas where most of the land cannot be cultivated, it will be a real strange thing if agriculture is developed.  Underdeveloped agriculture made the Soviet Union's food problem very prominent.  If someone makes a fuss about this food issue, it will definitely cause quite a big problem.

    If Comrade Lenin of the Soviet Union appears, this problem may still be solved.  But Mr. Lenin was too irritated by being watched every day in Moscow, so he did not make his voice heard on this matter.

    Therefore, it is very unfortunate that this weakness of the Soviet Union has been exploited by people with deliberate intentions.  Not to mention the ongoing war in Afghanistan, which has made the Soviet Union's food problem in the Far East particularly acute. Simply speaking, the Soviet Union's channels for importing food are not that smooth.

    As the number one enemy of capitalism, the Soviet Union has faced the danger of being encircled and suppressed by capitalist countries since its birth.  Although the Soviet Union survived time and time again and could truly threaten the security of capitalist society.

    But just because he is too strong, capitalist countries will never allow him to act recklessly.  Everything must be blocked and everything must be confronted. If it weren't for the nuclear bomb threatening the whole world, the two camps would have started the Third World War long ago.

    Although the Soviet Union is known as one of the two poles, the entire world is still dominated by capitalist society.  No way, how many years has it been since the Soviet Union appeared?  And how many years has it been since the entire capitalist camp emerged?  How can those countries that have developed for hundreds of years compare to the Soviet Union?

    Let¡¯s just say that Britain has declined. Although during the revolution, most of its colonies were seceded.  Even Asan, who is known as the Pearl of Britain, is so loyal and loyal, and under the leadership of Gandhi, he abandoned Britain with a pat on the back.  However, until now, the countries that Britain can actually influence are not comparable to those of the Soviet Union, and this is not all of Britain.

    ?????????????????????Although those countries that have left the country have grown up, Britain, as a mother-in-law, does not just give up.  After all, we can still be considered a family, and even if we are separated, we can still be considered as coming from the same family.  Therefore, those countries that were powerful after separating from the United Kingdom formed a Commonwealth with the United Kingdom.  Developed countries like Asan, Canada, and Australia are all members of the Commonwealth.

    A declining empire on which the sun never sets is like this, let alone a strong young man like the United States.  Although there are not many in the United States?Colonies, but this is because the United States does not need them. If it directly stationed troops in foreign countries and solved all problems, what colonies and federations would it need?  Pointing a gun at someone is much better than relying on influence and tricks.

    And what does the Soviet Union have?  Although there are many young people in Eastern Europe who are cheering for the Soviet Union, and there are 16 participating countries, the quality of these young people is really not worthy of praise.  Apart from the Soviet Union, how many influential people are there in these countries?  Moreover, Eastern Europe has such a large territory, how much output can it produce?  Compared to the entire Africa, Oceania, North and South America, which are all controlled by capitalist countries, there is really a big difference.

    And why the Soviet Union wants to fight for peace in Afghanistan is because the Soviet Union wants to get an outlet to the Indian Ocean and goes to war for an outlet. One can imagine the Soviet Union's predicament.  As for the ports to the sea, there are simply too many for capitalist countries. Even the ones that have been developed cannot be used up, let alone those ports that have not yet been developed. This is the gap.

    Having said so much, some people may say that Liu Dong is crooked. Shouldn¡¯t we talk about the issue of food? How come it is suddenly brought to the sea?  In fact, one of the reasons why the Soviet Union wanted to build a seaport was food. Of course, the main purpose was to compete for hegemony.

    There is not enough food in the Soviet Union, but in many places there is too much food to eat.  Just like Indonesia, where there are three crops a year, you can eat even if you lie on the ground.

    But it is a pity that the Soviet Union has been fighting in Afghanistan for so many years, but it still has not fully explored the territory here, although there are various reasons.  But it is an indisputable fact that the situation in Afghanistan has not been controlled.

    And, because the territory is not well-trodden.  Not only did they not get any rewards, they also lost a steady stream of supplies in this bottomless pit.  Under such conditions, the food problem was infinitely expanded, resulting in the fact that bread in Moscow, the capital of the Soviet Union, was not so easy to buy.

    If the bottom line of survival has not been achieved, the effect of reform can be imagined.  Moreover, because the Soviet leadership was old and rigid in their thinking.  They have been immersed in the grand blueprint of liberating the world, using weapons everywhere, without any chance to breathe and stabilize.

    ¡° Moreover, the Soviet Union¡¯s main means of foreign exchange income are oil and gold. Although the current price of gold is very ideal, due to the excessive issuance of Soviet rubles, the Soviet Union¡¯s gold reserves are not sufficient, and this road is broken in half.  And what about oil?

    Although the Iran-Iraq war caused oil prices to rise, OPEC responded quickly, so the Soviets did not make much profit from it.  And because the economic situation has not been so good in recent years, oil consumption is far from the exaggeration of later generations.  Therefore, the Soviet treasury was not as full as imagined.

    The two major problems of food and empty treasury are enough to make the Soviets panic. In fact, the Soviets have more than just these two major problems.  Reform requires a stable political situation, which the Soviets did not have. Gorbachev's first two terms were short-lived. He came to power in a hurry, and the relationship was not straightened out before he hurriedly started reforms. If such reforms can really succeed,  It's a miracle.

    Not only that, Gorbachev¡¯s reforms were quite radical, which made it even worse.  The more radical the reform, the more resources will be required, and even for normal reforms, the Soviet Union is facing a serious shortage of funds, let alone the current radical approach.

    Therefore, the Soviet Union's reforms seem to be very inspiring, but any one of them is enough to cause the Soviet Union's reforms to fail, let alone so many problems together.  Even a genius cannot handle such a situation, let alone Gorbachev.

    ¡°Reform without food means that everyone will go hungry.  Today's Soviet Union is not the Soviet Union during World War II. It can fight the Germans for half a day with half a piece of bread. It is ideologically armed to overcome various difficulties.  The Soviet people today do not have the fanatical thinking of that time.

    "But if the country has no money and needs to vigorously reform, it will be out of touch, and the consequences of the disconnect will definitely overturn the high-speed train of the Soviet Union on the side of the track.  There are various other difficulties, and the prospects for reform in the Soviet Union are really not optimistic.

    ¡°And if the Soviet Union fails to reform, the current model will no longer allow the Soviet Union to operate normally.  And only genius knows what the final result will be.

    Liu Dong¡¯s analysis made the old man stunned.  This was the first time he had heard someone speak so pessimistically about Soviet reforms.

    No one in the country now thinks that the Soviet reform will fail.  Because China's reforms can be considered a certain success, at least now Chinese people no longer have to worry about eating as before, and there is still money left for consumption.

    And the Soviet Union, which was much more powerful than China, would naturally succeed in its reforms.  Many people??Waiting for the reform experience from the Soviet Union, but now when the old man heard Liu Dong say this, cold sweat broke out on his forehead!

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