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Volume One: Fierce Battle in Changsha Chapter 566: The Pain of Long and Short

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    The next day, Qian Jiang, the new leader of Baizetang, was summoned by Xiao Yungui to the West Prince's Mansion in Shanghai. In the reception room, Xiao Yungui asked straight to the point about the analysis of comprehensive intelligence by Baizetang intelligence personnel after the Bohai Bay incident.

    Bai Zetang and the Intelligence Department have always had a relationship of cooperation and competition. Qian Jiang never imagined that one day he would be in charge of Bai Zetang, but he still went about his errands conscientiously. Fortunately, Bai Zetang and the Intelligence Department usually have many intersections, and the important matters of both parties are  Most of the characters are known to each other, and Qian Jiang is a good person, so the people in Bai Zetang are also very cooperative. Less than a month after taking office, Qian Jiang has quickly taken over Tong Qiangsheng's errands.

    "The Baizetang and the Intelligence Department established by Xiao Yungui have a common feature, that is, these two agencies are not only intelligence collection departments, they also have intelligence analysis sections that specialize in analyzing the collected intelligence.

    Engaging in intelligence errands is different from the military sending out scouts to conduct intelligence investigations. There are many sources of information, including information obtained from hidden insiders, information provided by informants, and information spread among the people. In short, it is many and complicated.  At the same time, not every news is accurate, not every news is true, and not every news will be useful. Intelligence analysis is to analyze all the information obtained, determine the authenticity, eliminate useless information, and  Based on what the intelligence shows, speculate or deduce the inside story or something deeper behind the matter.  Therefore, intelligence work is complex and arduous, and those engaged in it must be good at analysis and judgment. In short, they must be flexible in mind.

    After hearing what Xiao Yungui said, Qian Jiang breathed a sigh of relief.  The Tiehan incident between foreigners and Manchus in the Bohai Bay attracted great attention from Qianjiang. Although the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom is now launching the Yunnan-Guizhou Campaign, the progress of the relationship between Manchus and Qing Dynasties in the north and foreigners has always been the focus of Bai Zetang and the Intelligence Department.  As early as when Tong Qiangsheng was still there, a temporary team composed of more than 20 Bai Zetang elites was established to be responsible for intelligence analysis on the relationship between the Manchus and foreigners.  After learning about the Tiehan incident, Qian Jiang had been analyzing intelligence with the people in this department yesterday, so he didn't panic when Xiao Yungui asked him. He came prepared.

    "Your Highness, after several rounds of analysis, based on the information we have so far, this incident was staged and staged by people within the Qing Dynasty in collusion with foreigners. The purpose was to undermine the temporary peace agreement between Prince Gong of the Qing Dynasty and Britain and France. No,  Let both sides facilitate five-party talks." Qian Jiang said concisely.  He knew that Xiao Yungui didn't like long speeches.

    Xiao Yungui nodded and was very satisfied. Bai Zetang could quickly tell that this incident was deliberately arranged by someone, which showed that Qian Jiang was competent. After nodding slightly, he asked: "What about the pros and cons for us?"

    Qianjiang got the approval of the King of the West.  Confidence is boosted.  Clearing his throat, he continued: "Politically, we originally participated in the negotiations between Manchu and Qing Dynasty and Britain and France just to sabotage and disrupt the situation. The five-party talks are a double-edged sword. If Manchu and Qing Dynasty really agreed to our participation in the negotiations, of course this would  This possibility is unlikely, but if we really agree, we will be very passive politically. Because it is impossible for us and the Manchus to sit down and negotiate, and the problem must be solved militarily. Fortunately, the Tiehan incident has occurred  .We have achieved the goal of sabotaging the peace talks between Britain, France and the Manchus, and at the same time we do not have to bear the disadvantages of the five-party talks. Politically, the advantages naturally outweigh the disadvantages."

    Xiao Yungui smiled slightly. Under the influence of him and Westerners, the officials and generals of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom also began to distinguish between politics and military affairs. Many new vocabulary began to be used in large quantities. As an emerging regime, the ability to accept new things is inherently strong.  In addition, after Xiao Yungui came to power, he broke Hong Xiuquan's worship-like superstition, coupled with the trend of reviving Confucianism and the emergence of concepts such as applying what he learned and managing the world, the thinking of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom began to change. Although  Most ordinary people still have the old feudal ideas, but officials and generals like Qian Jiang, as the leadership collective of a political power and the high-level elites of the Kingdom of Heaven, naturally think more advanced, as evidenced by the use of a large number of new vocabulary  .

    "Go on." After receiving Xiao Yungui's affirmation again, Qian Jiang let go and said: "Politically, the advantages outweigh the disadvantages, but militarily it's the opposite. Since the peace talks fail, Britain and France will definitely control Hong Kong."  The stationed expeditionary force was sent to the north to start a war with the Qing Dynasty. The battlefield was most likely in the Jintang area, which could directly threaten the capital of the Qing Dynasty. It was a small gain for Britain and France, so they would definitely do this. Once  Although the British and French allied forces joining the northern battlefield can contain some of the Manchu troops and are beneficial to our military, the addition of a strong army to the war situation is inherently unpredictable. There are too many changes that may occur, which is also detrimental to our army.  This is a potential threat. Originally, after our army planned to take Yunnan and Guizhou, it could regain Sichuan in May or June next year. After that, it would send troops out of Shaanxi and Gansu. At the same time, it would gather naval ships to transport large-scale troops to land at Shanhaiguan and Ningjin, and then quickly move toward  Attack from the west, form a large-scale strategic mobile pincer offensive with the Shaanxi-Gansu Corps, and push the main force of the Qing army in the north to the west.The Northern Expedition can be completed by encircling Zhili, Shandong, Henan, Shanxi and other regions. Finally, a strategic decisive battle will be carried out.  However, once Britain and France attack the heart of the Qing Dynasty in advance, it is very likely that the Qing leadership will flee west or north in advance, which is not extremely detrimental to our strategy.  At the same time, if the Manchus were forced too far, they would most likely join forces with Russia in the north to fight against Britain and France, driving out the wolf through the front door and entering the tiger through the back door. This would most likely turn into a complex situation in which three parties and six political forces confront each other on our land.  The Russians have recently strengthened their military garrison in Nerchinsk and other places. Judging from the ongoing small-scale battles between Tan Shaoguang and the Russians, the Russian military has strengthened in the northeast and is very likely to reinforce the Manchus.  In order to find allies, the Qing Dynasty will definitely sell some interests in exchange for Russian support. If we want to recover these interests in the future, we will inevitably break out a larger war with Russia, so it is disadvantageous militarily.  "

    After Qian Jiang talked on the phone for a long time, Xiao Yungui poured a cup of tea for him with a smile and handed it to him. Qian Jiang was flattered and thanked him. Xiao Yungui nodded slightly thoughtfully and said, "You thought well."  , what I am worried about is that it will scare away the leaders of the Manchu Qing Dynasty. In fact, according to our current military strength, we will launch the Northern Expedition with all our strength. Forming a three-pronged army from northern Jiangsu, Hubei, Anhui, and Henan to invade the Central Plains, and directly capture Beijing, we have an extremely good chance of winning.  High, but that would most likely allow the Russians in the north to take advantage of the situation. At the same time, it might also scare away the two girls from Qingyao and the little emperor. Whether they run to the northwest, Mongolia, or escape outside the customs, they will be very harmful to us.  The next military operations will be unfavorable, so I would like to conduct a large-scale strategic encirclement, which will be more beneficial."

    Qian Jiang took a sip of tea and said with a smile: "Actually, Your Highness still has two benefits that he has not mentioned. As we are doing now, we can encroach on the Qing Dynasty bit by bit, starting from the southern nine provinces. Finally, we can carry out strategic encirclement, such as Jiangnan, Yunnan and Guizhou.  It is extremely beneficial to clear out some local forces through military operations to consolidate the rule of our Kingdom of Heaven in the future. For example, through wars and bandit suppression campaigns in Guangdong and Guangxi, the big local forces have been basically eliminated, and the rural official system of the Kingdom of Heaven has been brought to the countryside. This is  This is an unprecedented initiative in all dynasties and has laid a solid foundation for a better rule of our heavenly kingdom.¡±

    Xiao Yungui laughed twice.  This benefit was rightly mentioned by Qian Jiang.  This is what he planned. An old regime has fallen, but the old forces may not necessarily fall. As stubborn feudal remnants, they are bound to lurk in the vast land. The biggest ones are the powerful and wealthy gentry in those places.  To eradicate these local forces, the best, most direct and quick way is to go to war.  War can destroy everything and then rebuild it. What Xiao Yungui is doing now is to destroy all the old forces and then rebuild order and power to achieve the purpose of reshuffling the cards.  In the future, those at the top of the pyramid in the Taiping Rebellion will be the big capitalists, while those in the middle will be the middle class.  Therefore, we must get rid of these local forces that are now above national law.

    At the same time, the war will cause casualties and will also cause a large amount of land to become ownerless land.  It will also cause a large number of civilians to become refugees due to war.  War can change the local land structure, allowing the Sufu New Deal to be quickly implemented in these war-baptized places. Unowned land can be redistributed to solve land conflicts. A large number of refugees are undoubtedly cheap labor entering factories, and the destroyed production relations are undoubtedly  It provides unlimited opportunities for capital entry.  Guangdong is undergoing such changes now. The Military and Political Department of Guangdong led by Lu Xianba is suppressing local "remnant bandits" while implementing the New Deal. The system of rural officers and soldiers has been brought down to the township level, bringing the thousands of years of royal orders before the Qing Dynasty to the present.  The situation of not going to the countryside changed. At the same time, emerging local capitalists and foreign capital from Shanghai, Ningbo, Jiangsu and Zhejiang and other places swarmed in and began the vigorous reconstruction after the war. Among them, the old forces and the poor people lost their interests.  .

    Xiao Yungui laughed twice and then asked: "What is the other benefit?"

    Qian Jiang became more relaxed and continued: "If we directly launch the Northern Expedition through the Central Plains, once the Manchu and Qing Dynasties Beijing is occupied, the other provinces where we have not used weapons will definitely raise their flags to stand on their own, or join us. Regardless.  Whether it is independence or surrender, the Western King will definitely not be happy. Those who are independent will inevitably have to conquer, and those who surrender will not be able to use their swords and guns openly. This will bring huge disadvantages to the reintegration of the entire country, so we still  It is better to go on one step at a time and realize the national liberation within three to five years. This is the most beneficial to the country. Although this may be a bit cruel to the people of the world, it is also the only bloody road to peace. It is better to have long-term pain than to go on step by step.  A short-term pain of three to five years would be better."

    Xiao Yungui didn't smile this time, and his face became a little ugly, because Qian Jiang was absolutely right.  When discussing the general strategy of the world with Hong Yun'er, the two took the Northern Expedition that took place during the Republic of China as a reference. It was not advisable to directly carry out the Northern Expedition. There was no consolidated territory, no absolute power, and the local area was not fully controlled. The Wuchang Uprising  After the Northern Expedition was launched, the Qing Dynasty was indeed destroyed, but it left behind a warlord separatist regime.The melee situation has lasted for more than 20 years, bringing an even more tragic price to the entire country and people.  Although the Taiping Army is now waging war in one province, it seems to be harming the country, but this harm is short-lived. Once it is restored, there will be no more wars, and it will not be repeatedly ravaged by wars like the emergence of warlord separatism.  With.

    In comparison, Ming Taizu Zhu Yuanzhang's approach was more appropriate. He first defeated Chen Youliang and other southern separatist forces and consolidated the rear before launching the Northern Expedition. At that time, Zhu Yuanzhang also fought fiercely with Chen Youliang in Jiangxi, Hunan and other places south of the Yangtze River.  It also caused great damage, but after defeating Chen Youliang, there were no more wars in Jiangnan, and it eventually developed into a land of wealth for the Ming Dynasty.  It can be seen that Qian Jiang is right, long-term pain is worse than short-term pain, and in any period, facing an era of major changes, the weak and common people will always suffer. This is unavoidable, and all Xiao Yungui can do is to endure long-term pain. It's just a short-term pain.  (To be continued, please search Piaotian Literature. The novels will be better and updated faster!
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